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Unveiling the determinants of irrigation water elasticity: implications for the water-energy-food-ecosystem nexus

IWRA World Water Congress 2025 Marrakech Morocco
Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystems Nexus - WEFE NEXUS
Author(s): Isabel Parras - Agricultural Economist
Isabel Parras - Agricultural Economist Strategic Foresight Pillar, Agrifood Economics and Policy Division Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN
3 December 2025

Oral: PDF

Abstract

Why irrigation water price elasticities matter?

The own-price elasticity of irrigation water demand it’s crucial for:

  • Designing pricing and cost-recovery policies
  • Predicting water savings
  • Anticipating impacts on farm income and production
  • Improving water use efficiency (SDG 6)

What the literature says:

  • Empirically, irrigation water demand is usually inelastic (around −0.1 to −0.6), but there is large heterogeneity in prices and elasticities.
  • The latest meta-analysis:1996, 24 studies, one country, found an average elasticity around −0.48, but with wide variation.

Conclusions for the WEFE Nexus

  • Irrigation water demand is typically inelastic on average, but varies widely by context, method and crop. Mean own-price elasticities are consistently around −0.3 to −0.5, but with large dispersion.
  • Lack of data is the main limitation: Even in econometric studies with real data, information on prices, crops, energy prices and quantities was often incomplete or absent. Many areas still lack volumetric pricing/metering, limiting both efficiency and identification of elasticities.
  • Prices and elasticities shape WEFE flows. Moving from area fees to marginal volumetric pricing or water markets, where possible, impacts not just water use but also on-farm energy demand (pumping), environmental pressures (aquifer drawdown, return flows), and food outputs (crop choice, intensity).
  • Elasticity heterogeneity is a feature, so harmonization is essential before transferring elasticities across regions. Differences in |ε| by crop value, irrigation technology, source (surface vs groundwater), and water availability mean water-price reforms ripple unevenly across energy use, ecosystem stress and food production.
  • Income and price levels dampen responsiveness. In higher-income regions and where prevailing water prices are already high, |ε| tends to be smaller, implying that price reforms alone may under-deliver on energy savings and environmental relief without complementary measures.
  • Environment–food trade-offs. Less water used for irrigation can protect in-stream flows and groundwater, but abrupt price hikes in low-|ε| settings can contract irrigated area or push shifts to high-value, high-input crops.
  • The effect of water or energy subsidies on water prices remains opaque as well as the impact of energy prices in water prices.