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Scenario Planning Analysis To Water Dsitribution Systems

Congress: 2015
Author(s): Gerardo Ruiz (Mexico, Mexico)


Keyword(s): Sub-theme 1: Water supply and demand,
AbstractIn large cities the population growth, the territorial disorder and increasingly the scarcity of drinking water, is of great importance to analyze various scenarios for a better planning of the drinking water distribution system. The great variability of the factors involved in the distribution of potable water, were taken for analysis variables of population, demand for water, treated water, collect water, rate and losses in distribution. Since it is a dynamic and complex system, since the variables involved are of a physical nature (weather), economic and political, and both follow a complex dynamic [1], the VENSIM tool was used to conceptualize and make the simulation of future scenarios [2]. The city of Mexico given characteristics and form part of the mega-cities in the world was taken as a particular case for analysis, within this analysis we considered the future scenarios for the years 2015, 2020 and 2030. 1. Kham, S., Yufeng, L. and Ahmad, A. (2009) Analysing complex behaviour of hydrological systems through a system dynamics approach. Environ. Model. Softw. 24(12), 1363-1372. 2. Miller, G., Cable, J., McDonald, A., Bond, B., Franz, T., Wang, L., Gou, S., Tyler, A., Zou, Ch. and Scott, R. (2012) Understanding ecohydrological connectivity in savannas: a system dynamics modelling approach. Ecohydrol. 5(2), 200-220.
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